30 Eylül 2012 Pazar

Jobs with Asda

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Supermarket giant Asda is to create 5000 new jobs at 25 new stores. There are plans for new depots at Rochdale and Falkirk in addition to the new stores.
Asda, which is based in Leeds, currently employs 180,000 staff across 528 stores and depots in the UK.
Asda is the UK's second biggest supermarket chain, behind Tesco. It is owned by the world's biggest retailer, US firm Walmart.
Asda said the jobs would be part of a £500m expansion drive, which would increase its selling space by 600,000 square feet.
It said that the new depots would reduce the distance travelled by its delivery drivers by one million miles a year. 

 
What's it like to work at Asda?
What's it like to work at George? We know that if you’re thinking about a new job, you‘re thinking about a change that can have a dramatic impact on your life. We also know you‘ll want to have some answers to one of the most important questions:

Get your CV in now to Asda.

Blogarama - The Blog Directory

UK Jobs 2012

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Are you trying hard enough to find a job?, there many jobs out there you just need the time to look. Have you been unemployed for over a year?. Dont give up if you look you find an ideal job for you.

LOCOG logo

Working for London 2012 is your chance to share a moment of history – not just in the UK, but on a global stage. The London 2012 Olympic Games and Paralympic Games are taking place in London and across the UK, and we need talented and dedicated people to be a part of them.
With London 2012, there are all sorts of job opportunities for all sorts of people, including those currently out of work and students. More than 100,000 people will be paid to work on the Games, all of them with different backgrounds, skills and experiences.
From catering to IT, cleaning to ticketing, there are a wide range of paid roles available during what’s known as Games time.
Recruitment is underway and if you are keen to get involved, you will find something you can apply for.

The four sections below show the different organisations where London 2012 jobs are available.


JOBS IN SPORT

Tesco to create new jobs

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The supermarket giant TESCO is to create 20,000 jobs in the UK, this is to help cover Peak hour trading.
The recruitment drive will target unemployed young people, said Richard Brasher, Tesco’s U.K. chief executive officer.
Tesco is the U.K.’s largest private employer with more than 290,000 employees, including 70,000 under the age of 25, the company said. Britain’s unemployment rate was 8.4 percent in December, equal to the previous month and the highest since January 1996, according to the Office for National Statistics.
“In unprecedented economic conditions like these, major businesses have a big responsibility to step forward, invest and create jobs,” Brasher said in the statement.
Tesco isn’t alone in targeting jobs at young people. McDonald’s Corp. (MCD), the world’s biggest restaurant chain, plans to create at least 2,500 jobs in the U.K. this year, with more than half of the new positions for people under the age of 25.

55,000 new jobs available

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I am not a fan of the Sun newspaper myself, however they are advertising 55,000 new posts available starting from next week. They are calling it the Sunemployment road show. They will be in Newcastle on monday, Manchester on tuesday, Birmingham on wednesday, Cardiff on thursday and Haistings on friday

Every event is FREE and every day we'll be joined by top firms eager to hire staff.
You'll get a chance to talk to recruitment experts such as Apprentice stars Michelle Dewberry, Tim Campbell and Jo Cameron, Levi Roots from Dragons' Den and new Dragon Hilary Devey.
And you'll even be able to quiz top business people on their plans to get Britain back to work. They include Asda chief exec Andy Clarke, Jacqueline Gold from Ann Summers, Tesco personnel director Judith Nelson, Travelodge MD Guy Parsons, KFC chief Martin Shuker and Morrisons boss Dalton Phillips.
There will be CV experts and interview coaches on hand to help you.

New jobs in car manufacturing

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Car giants, Nissan is to create 2000 new jobs at its factory in Sunderland it was announced today.
Production of the Invitation is due to start in mid-2013 at an initial rate of 100,000 a year. The announcement has been welcomed by industry and business leaders after numerous job losses at leading manufacturers over the past year.

Stephen Tetlow, chief executive of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers (IMechE), said: "This is another sign of a growing renaissance in UK car manufacturing. The sector is growing at over 15% a year, creating thousands of jobs and driving British manufacturing out of the doldrums.

"Nissan's Sunderland plant is the company's most productive plant in Europe, which is both a testament to the UK's world class engineers and a signal as to why our car manufacturers are seeing such impressive growth."

Nissan to create 2000 new UK jobs

29 Eylül 2012 Cumartesi

Train to be electrician or a plumber

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There is good money, about £40k, per year if you train to be an electrician or a plumber. No experience required. See this application.


Reply to this ad or 02083913000
  • Contract type

    Permanent
Train to become an Electrician or Plumber and Earn up to £40,000 per year!!

We need practical, keen applicants to take around 70 days of intensive City & Guilds training around your current commitments.
No previous plumbing or electrical experience is necessary.

What does BTSC have to offer you?

• Europe’s largest £3 million state of the art Training Centres
• Fast Track Training around any current job
• City & Guilds, NVQ, NIC and Gas Safe Qualifications
• Awarded first ever Straight A’s by City and Guilds External Verifier
• We won’t be beaten on course fees, still with training second to none
• Over £70,000 of new tools and machinery invested into the centres this year alone
• All course books free of charge
• Automatic account with below trade prices at our on site builders merchants
• Out of hours on site work related telephone advice line
• Dedicated Careers Development team

Once you have completed your training and gained your qualifications our careers team will assist you into a placement with one of our associated companies with the earning potential of over £40,000 per year.

Contributions towards subsidised training will be required.

For more information please click the link above

Widen your job hunt area

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If you are still looking for a job, it is a good idea to widen the area of search, for example if you live in the North west of England, look for jobs within the Greater Manchester area, don't restrict your search. Searching with Google may be a good idea. Try using different keywords such as jobs within the Manchester area, or jobs within the warrington area. By doing this you will greatly increase your chances of getting a job. A search with Google, " jobs within the Manchester area " found 223 jobs with Guardian jobs alone. There will be more if you look.

Locality clerk required

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This position is brand new as of today. A locality clerk, band two is required by the NHS  at North Bristol NHS trust, 15 hours per week, salary is £13,903 to £17,003 pro rota.
Details are as follows:


Locality Clerk Band 2

Severnvale Locality Team are seeking to recruit a flexible and conscientious clerk to be based at Thornbury Health Centre.

15 hours per week over 4 days. Duties will include data input, dealing with a wide range of telephone enquiries, ordering supplies and fault reporting. A good knowledge of computer applications is required including Word and Excel.

Informal Inquires Annette Carter annette.carter@sgchs.nbt.nhs.uk tel: 0117 969 2370



Train for a new career

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Are you fed up of your old job?, or out of work. Why not train for a new career.

On qualification you will be provided with a list of agencies (currently 30+) who recruit our qualified students. Fees for any instruction work carried out for agencies are a set fee and are paid a month in arrears. Generally most instruction work can take anywhere from 30mins to 3 hours and fees are in the region of £25 to £110. On average £55 to £100.
Note Industry terminology: - A case, job etc is referred to in the industry as an instruction.
  • Claimant Lawyers
You are not part of an exclusivity deal when it comes to agencies and you can carry out work for solicitors directly who pay a set fee or provide work where you can charge on an hourly basis.
  • Insurance Companies
Insurance claims investigation is usually paid as a set fee per task and payment is usually a month in arrears. Fees vary wildly dependant on case.
  • Small to Medium Enterprises (SMEs) carrying out workplace investigation
Carrying out site inspections for businesses who want to audit their own in house health and safety depts, or insurers who want to monitor insured employers compliance can bring fees up to £250 in some instances.
  • Employers who have work vehicles
Working as a consultant/investigator for Manorr there is an opportunity to earn residual income from customers of Manorr, further you can earn additional sums as a consultant/investigator. Money is paid to you every year that a customer remains in their contract. Typically an average customer can earn you £180 per annum plus £250 per annum consultancy and up to £400 per annum for instruction work. The optimum amount of customers you could be servicing could be as many as 200 per annum. The 2 day course is available to investigators trained by Amalgam Training.
  • Referral work for personal injury claims
We are registered with the Ministry of Justice and are regulated for claims management activities, this means we can pay you referral fees of £400 per qualified referral.

All of these tasks and earning opportunities you will learn by attending our training course.
Your earnings potential are directly linked to the quality of your work and the ability to be able to serve your clients well. Most of the investigators work for between 7 & 9 different organisations. On average the earnings are circa 25k if you work for an average working week.
Ultimately, every single day is different, you will be making decisions that will affect peoples lives, some in a positive way, because your investigation has led to them receiving compensation for their injuries, some not so positive because as a result of your investigation a fraudulent claim has not proceeded.


You may be thinking that its all too good to be true, in essence the catch is nothing more simple than YOU! If you do not have the following attributes you will not succeed,
  • If you cannot listen to people or talk to people
  • If you are not naturally inquisitive
  • If you cannot motivate yourself to get up and work
  • If you do not have a basic understanding of computers, choose our premier package (IT support can be given remotely for 3 months on your home desktop by our trainers at £150 + VAT).
Listed here are some of the skills that you will need in order to qualify and work within the industry.
  • Analytical
  • Communicating (verbal and non-verbal)
  • Decision making
  • Document formatting
  • Interviewing
  • Negotiating
  • Numeracy
  • Organising
  • Planning
  • Problem solving
  • Proof reading (spelling and grammar)
  • Reading
  • Report presentation
  • Researching
  • Team working
  • Using own initiative
  • Using technology
  • Word processing
  • Working to specific instruction
  • WritingDON'T DELAY START TODAY! CALL 01636 593990 or EMAIL

My new job

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How can I prepare for my first day at work, at my new job.

Whether you’re starting your first job or you're an experienced worker, there is no better time to make a good first impression than your first day at work. It doesn’t matter if it was your skills and experience or simply your availability that landed you the job; you still have an obligation to be prepared to do your job for the company that hired you. You may not accomplish much on your first day at work, but you will meet a lot of other employees, and possibly managers or executives who might later be responsible for your raise or promotion.
You can begin preparing for your first day at work the night before. Though you might be excited or even nervous, you should do your best to get a good night’s sleep so you are well rested for the next day. Try to avoid too much caffeine late in the day, and even if you’re celebrating your new job with friends or family, avoid alcohol and don’t eat too much. All of these things can interfere with a good night’s rest.

28 Eylül 2012 Cuma

QE3 10 Shocking Quotes That Will Help Destroy America

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Michael Snyder
The American Dream
Saturday, September 15, 2012
Ready or not, QE3 is here, and the long-term effects of this reckless money printing by the Federal Reserve are going to be absolutely nightmarish.  The Federal Reserve is hoping that buying $40 billion worth of mortgage-backed securities per month will spur more lending and more economic activity.

But that didn’t happen with either QE1 or QE2.  Both times the banks just sat on most of the extra money.  As I pointed out the other day, U.S. banks are already sitting on $1.6 trillion in excess reserves.  So will pumping them up with more cash suddenly make them decide to start lending?  Of course not.  In addition, QE3 is not likely to produce many additional jobs.  As I showed in a previous article, the employment level did not jump up as a result of either QE1 or QE2.  So why will this time be different?  But what did happen under both QE1 and QE2 is that a lot of the money ended up pumping up the financial markets.  So once again we should see stock prices go up (at least in the short-term) and commodities such as gold, silver, food and oil should also rise.  But that also means that average American families will be paying more for the basic necessities that they buy on a regular basis.  The most dangerous aspect of QE3, however, is what it is going to do to the U.S. dollar.  Most of the rest of the world uses the U.S. dollar to conduct international trade, and by choosing to recklessly print money Ben Bernanke is severely damaging international confidence in our currency.  If at some point the rest of the world rejects the dollar and no longer wants to use it as a reserve currency we are going to be facing a crisis unlike anything we have ever seen before.  The real debate about QE3 should not be about whether or not it will help the economy a little bit in the short-term.  Rather, everyone should be talking about the long-term implications and about how QE3 is going to accelerate the destruction of the dollar.
The following are 10 shocking quotes about what QE3 is going to do to America….
#1 Ron Paul
“It means we are weakening the dollar. We are trying to liquidate our debt through inflation. The consequence of what the Fed is doing is a lot more than just CPI. It has to do with malinvestment and people doing the wrong things at the wrong time. Believe me, there is plenty of that. The one thing that Bernanke has not achieved and it frustrates him, I can tell—is he gets no economic growth. He doesn’t do anything with the unemployment numbers. I think the country should have panicked over what the Fed is saying that we have lost control and the only thing we have left is massively creating new money out of thin air, which has not worked before, and is not going to work this time.”
#2 Peter Schiff, CEO Of Euro Pacific Capital
“This is a disastrous monetary policy; it’s kamikaze monetary policy”
#3 Michael Pento, The Founder Of Pento Portfolio Strategies
“This is the nuclear option for them. This is a never-ending weapon that is being fired at the middle class”
#4 Donald Trump
“People like me will benefit from this.”
#5 Economist Anthony Randazzo
“Quantitative easing—a fancy term for the Federal Reserve buying securities from predefined financial institutions, such as their investments in federal debt or mortgages—is fundamentally a regressive redistribution program that has been boosting wealth for those already engaged in the financial sector or those who already own homes, but passing little along to the rest of the economy. It is a primary driver of income inequality formed by crony capitalism. And it is hurting prospects for economic growth down the road by promoting malinvestments in the economy.”
#6 John Williams Of Shadowstats.com
“That’s absolutely nonsense.  The Fed is just propping up the banks.”
#7 Marc Faber
“I happen to believe that eventually we will have a systemic crisis and everything will collapse. But the question is really between here and then. Will everything collapse with Dow Jones 20,000 or 50,000 or 10 million? Mr. Bernanke is a money printer and, believe me, if Mr. Romney wins the election the next Fed chairman will also be a money printer. And so it will go on. The Europeans will print money. The Chinese will print money. Everybody will print money and the purchasing power of paper money will go down.”
#8 Mesirow Financial Chief Economist Diane Swonk
“I think this will end up being a trillion-dollar commitment by the Fed”
#9 Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke
“I want to be clear — While I think we can make a meaningful and significant contribution to reducing this problem, we can’t solve it. We don’t have tools that are strong enough to solve the unemployment problem”
#10 Credit Rating Agency Egan-Jones
“[T]he FED’s QE3 will stoke the stock market and commodity prices, but in our opinion will hurt the US economy and, by extension, credit quality. Issuing additional currency and depressing interest rates via the purchasing of MBS does little to raise the real GDP of the US, but does reduce the value of the dollar (because of the increase in money supply), and in turn increase the cost of commodities (see the recent rise in the prices of energy, gold, and other commodities). The increased cost of commodities will pressure profitability of businesses, and increase the costs of consumers thereby reducing consumer purchasing power. Hence, in our opinion QE3 will be detrimental to credit quality for the US….”
We have reached a major turning point in the financial history of the United States.
It would be hard to overstate how much damage that QE3 could potentially do to our financial system.  If the rest of the world decides at some point that they no longer have confidence in our dollars and our debt then we are finished.
Sadly, the mainstream media does not seem to understand this, and most Americans gleefully believe whatever the mainstream media tells them.
So what do you think about QE3?  Please feel free to post a comment with your opinion following this article….

Why Biased Polling Is Underestimating Romney Vote

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Dick Morris - Republicans are getting depressed under an avalanche of polling suggesting that an Obama victory is in the offing. They, in fact, suggest no such thing! Here’s why:
1. All of the polling out there uses some variant of the 2008 election turnout as its model for weighting respondents and this overstates the Democratic vote by a huge margin.
In English, this means that when you do a poll you ask people if they are likely to vote. But any telephone survey always has too few blacks, Latinos, and young people and too many elderly in its sample. That’s because some don’t have landlines or are rarely at home or don’t speak English well enough to be interviewed or don’t have time to talk. Elderly are overstated because they tend to be home and to have time. So you need to increase the weight given to interviews with young people, blacks and Latinos and count those with seniors a bit less.
Normally, this task is not difficult. Over the years, the black, Latino, young, and elderly proportion of the electorate has been fairly constant from election to election, except for a gradual increase in the Hispanic vote. You just need to look back at the last election to weight your polling numbers for this one.
But 2008 was no ordinary election. Blacks, for example, usually cast only 11% of the vote, but, in 2008, they made up 14% of the vote. Latinos increased their share of the vote by 1.5% and college kids almost doubled their vote share. Almost all pollsters are using the 2008 turnout models in weighting their samples. Rasmussen, more accurately, uses a mixture of 2008 and 2004 turnouts in determining his sample. That’s why his data usually is better for Romney.
But polling indicates a widespread lack of enthusiasm among Obama’s core demographic support due to high unemployment, disappointment with his policies and performance, and the lack of novelty in voting for a black candidate now that he has already served as president.
If you adjust virtually any of the published polls to reflect the 2004 vote, not the 2008 vote, they show the race either tied or Romney ahead, a view much closer to reality.
2. Almost all of the published polls show Obama getting less than 50% of the vote and less than 50% job approval. A majority of the voters either support Romney or are undecided in almost every poll.
But the fact is that the undecided vote always goes against the incumbent. In 1980 (the last time an incumbent Democrat was beaten), for example, the Gallup Poll of October 27th had Carter ahead by 45-39. Their survey on November 2nd showed Reagan catching up and leading by three points. In the actual voting, the Republican won by nine. The undecided vote broke sharply — and unanimously — for the challenger.
An undecided voter has really decided not to back the incumbent. He just won’t focus on the race until later in the game.
So, when the published poll shows Obama ahead by, say, 48-45, he’s really probably losing by 52-48!
Add these two factors together and the polls that are out there are all misleading. Any professional pollster (those consultants hired by candidates not by media outlets) would publish two findings for each poll — one using 2004 turnout modeling and the other using 2008 modeling. This would indicate just how dependent on an unusually high turnout of his base the Obama camp really is.

Liberal Media Hates Christians But Loves lslam

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Doug Giles - Man, don’t cha love how the Insane Stream Media and their soft-brain disciples make Christians out to be fish-stickered, bug-eyed equals to incensed Islam? If you were to accept what the White House, some atheists and prattling gay activists say about Christians as true, you’d think the Church is chomping at the bit to chop off some heads of unbelievers, glory to Gawd!
Yep, if you were to believe the barf belched out by the BS brokers on the ludicrous Left, you’d stagger away stupid with the belief that there is little disparity between conservative Christians and militant Muslims.
As a matter of fact, you probably would be bamboozled into believing that Islam is a peaceful, Little House on the Prairie religion being temporarily hijacked by Jihadist renegades, and Christianity … Christianity is the real vicious, charity-vacant cult that’s vying for the opportunity to seize the whip and whip us good.
Yes, the Insane Stream Media’s reality stylists are working their butts off trying to convince us TV-addled cattle of two primary things: 1) Violent jihad is not based on the Koran, and 2) All conservative Christians are theocrats ready to burn Elton John at the stake, stone Snooki in a nearby gravel pit and governmentally ramrod Christianity down everyone’s pie hole.
I haven’t seen this kind of ham-fisted, farcical façade foisted upon the public since Michael Jackson tried to make out with Lisa Marie in an attempt to convince us all he’d found true love in an adult of the opposite sex.
Look, there’s no denying violent things have been done by the Church and in the name of God, but that has been the exception and not the rule. In addition, when the Church has spent time with its head up its butt doing bogus things, the Church’s leaders have historically owned it when wrong, have not repeated the gaffe, have grabbed the wheel and have effectively steered saints out of any erroneous, detrimental ditch.
Not so with Islam.
In Robert Spencer’s book, Religion of Peace? Why Christianity Is and Islam Isn’t, Bob shows those who can still be shown anything factual the massive and fundamental differences between Islam and Christianity. They are not equal no matter how much the blatherers of political correctness purport them to be. Their beliefs are not similar, nor their practices, nor their means of spreading their message—and to think otherwise could cost you your ass.
Spencer points out the crystal clear facts that clash with the current anti-Christian hype, such as …
· Most Muslims do not condemn jihad.
· Christianity and Islam have neither similar traditions nor similar modern realities.

Why Mainstream Polls Are Skewed Towards Obama

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Dean Chambers - This is not at all a conspiracy theory. I don't do conspiracy theories. This is a very well designed, well planned and they hope, brilliantly executed plan to help President Obama win a second term. The mainstream media has no intentions of sitting on the sidelines and merely objectively reporting the news of the election contest while watching Barack Obama become another Jimmy Carter. They will create the perception, via skewed polls, that Obama is winning and then hope the campaign can take advantage of this perception and steal enough votes to actually win the election. Then the perception, and the polls, will validate the stolen election and make it look all so plausible and realistic. If you don't believe they are doing this, then ask yourself how a president who is doing worse economically than Jimmy Carter was can somehow be reelected?
There are two major components to the mainstream media strategy to get Obama reelected. The most well known of the two is the coverage of the campaign. The Media Research Center recently documented that Romney got 86 percent negative coverage during his trip to England, Israel and Poland last week. Former CBS producer Bernard Goldberg has documented and covered the positive coverage of Obama and negative coverage of McCain in 2008 and Romney this year.
Obama Campaign will bring its "Kill Romney" strategy to the next level and will try and distort Mitt Romney's record to distract from three years of failure from President Obama. Video: The 'Kill Romney' strategy of the Obama campaignThe other factor less covered in the analysis and commentary on these issues is how the mainstream media are manipulating the polls to help the president get re-elected. Just recently, the Washington Post/ABC poll was shown to be heavily skewed toward Obama as well as some polls that were released last week. These polls are not skewed simply to make Obama look like he's winning when he's not. The reason is far more sinister than that. The polls are skewed with the belief that doing so actually influences voter decisions, and that many voters want to be voting for who they believe will win the election, and therefore if they have little other reason for their choice and want to be sure to be voting for the winning candidate, they will vote for Obama if they believe he's going to win. This concept is called the “bandwagon effect” that voters will choose the candidate they believe will win.
By repeatedly, almost weekly, publishing the results of one survey or another skewed at least 5 to 10 points in favor of Obama and showing him as winning, the mainstream media are creating a conventional wisdom that the president is winning. And the pundits then explain and analyze the president's campaign and every move it makes as successful and proven so by the skewed polls.
While the media is creating the perception that Obama can and is winning, the campaign and it's supporters are working with their allies and former members and leaders in groups like ACORN and others to change the actual vote outcomes as much as they can. While they are running an almost 100 percent negative campaign against Mitt Romney to decrease his real support, and increase that of the president, as much as they can, they are prepared to move votes in other means too. Yes they are well-prepared to engage in a variety of voter fraud and vote-scamming to win the closer states. By creating the perception that Obama is winning, the media is giving the campaign a margin in which to be able to engage in voter fraud and make it believable. For instance, instance, if the polls consistently showed Obama leading by 3-5 percent in Florida, even if the campaign's own internal polling shows it 2-3 points in favor of Florida, they then know they can steal enough voters in Florida to win it. And if they win it by less than percent, they can site polls showing them up by 3-5 percent to suggest the result is quite realistic after all.
To a limited degree, there was an effort to do this for John Kerry in 2004 when he ran against George W. Bush. The last polls done by many mainstream media outlets showed the race tied or a small lead for Kerry. The exit polls from election day, commissioned by the major news networks, projected Kerry winning in enough states to win the presidency. These exit poll results were leaked, and Kerry's advisers that afternoon were so confident he would in that they started calling him president-elect. But the exit polls were skewed, as they were in 2000, and Kerry's advisers should have remembered that. When the real polls closed and the results came in, Bush won 51 percent to 48 percent in the popular vote and won a majority in the electoral college.
If they can move actual public opinion enough against Mitt Romney and supplement that with a wide perception of Obama leading by skewing the polls, then they are confident they can steal enough votes for Obama to win and make it look plausible and believable. Does that mean the election is fixed and we're going to get a second term of Obama no matter what we do? Of course not.
The more that voters are aware that these major mainstream polls are skewed toward Obama, and see Romney competing well in the very few legitimate polls if they know that those polls are legitimate, the less ability the mainstream media has to sway public opinion, if they have much at all, with the skewed polls.
If the media can't successfully create a illusion that Obama is winning in the polls, it will be that tougher for the campaign to engage in enough vote-scamming to win. And the more we do at the state level to insure the integrity of the voting system from voter fraud, such an enacting and implementing voter identification laws, the less they will be able to engage in vote fraud. More voters should realize this is precisely why Obama's Justice Department under Attorney General Eric Holder is fighting voter identification laws so strongly. They know they are far less likely to win the if the election if honest and fair.
If we do not let them get away with the lies they are telling about Romney to try to undermine his support, the less likely they are able to get close enough in the polls for the other efforts to be able to succeed. The more the public sees through the viciously negative advertisements being being run by the Obama campaign and the unofficial groups that support him, the more they will realize just how dishonest this president is and how much he seeks to avoid being accountable for his own failure to perform as president.
It all comes down to exposing what they're doing. Exposing the lies in their ads, exposing the skewed mainstream media polls exposing the strategy behind all of this only renders it ineffective if voters understand what is being attempted. A well-informed voter is the very individual on election day the Obama campaign has the most to worry about.
UnSkewed Polling Data
Monday, September 24, 2012 1:18:34 PM
Poll Date Sample MoE Obama(D) Romney(R) Spread
UnSkewed Avg. 9/4 - 9/20 -- -- 44.0 51.8 Romney +7.8
Reason/Rupe 9/13 - 9/17 787 LV 4.3 45.0 52.0 Romney +7
Reuters/Ipsos 9/12 - 9/20 1437 LV 2.9 44.0 54.0 Romney +10
NBC News/WSJ 9/12 - 9/16 736 LV 3.6 44.0 51.0 Romney +7
Monmouth Univ. 9/13 - 9/16 1344 LV 2.5 45.0 50.0 Romney +5
QStarNews 9/10 - 9/15 2075 3.0 44.0 55.0 Romney +11
NY Times/CBS News 9/8 - 9/12 1162 LV 3.0 44.0 51.0 Romney +7
Democracy Corps 9/8 - 9/12 1000 LV 3.1 43.0 52.0 Romney +8
Fox News 9/9 - 9/11 1056 LV 3.0 45.0 48.0 Romney +3
Wash. Post/ABC News 9/7 - 9/9 826 LV 4.0 45.0 52.0 Romney +7
CNN/ORC 9/7 - 9/9 875 RV 3.5 45.0 53.0 Romney +8
IBD/CSM/TIPP 9/4 - 9/9 808 RV 3.5 41.0 50.0 Romney +9
ARG 9/4 - 9/6 1200 LV 3.0 43.0 53.0 Romney +10

History Shows That President Obama Will Win Re-Election

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Vern McKinley - Mitt Romney is hoping that he can defeat President Barack Obama by focusing on the weak economy. But can he? For the answer, we need to examine the linkage between economic cycles and election cycles.
A recession is a period of diminishing economic activity, a concept that tracks broad trends in the economy. These trends are what most Americans will be looking at when they vote in November.
Historically, it has taken a recession in the two-year window before a presidential election for a challenger to knock off a sitting president. Data on recessions from the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) integrated with the relevant election results gives us the following summary of sitting presidents unceremoniously removed from office over the past century:
George H.W. Bush got the boot in 1992 after the recession of 1990-1991. Jimmy Carter got the boot in 1980 after the recession of early 1980. Gerald Ford got the boot in 1976 after the recession of 1973-1975. Herbert Hoover got the boot in 1932 after the recession that started in 1929 and ran to the election. William Howard Taft got the boot in 1912 after the recession of 1910-1912.
Going back even further, Benjamin Harrison and Grover Cleveland were both removed from office after recessions in the two-year window before their elections. In fact, this formulation holds for every case of a deposed incumbent going back to the 1850s, which is as far back as NBER’s data goes.
However, the most recent recession ended more than three years ago, outside the two-year window. And since there are no definitive signs we are currently in a recession, the prospects look quite good for the president. Like re-election winners such as George W. Bush, Ronald Reagan and Franklin Roosevelt before him — other incumbents who saw downturns early in their first terms — he is benefiting from a bounce-back late in his term. The inflection point between winners and losers appears to be around two years before re-election.
Republicans could argue that this has been a pitiful recovery and that it stacks up poorly against the Reagan-era recovery of the early 1980s, which followed a similarly deep recession with unemployment peaking in the double digits. That is all true, but foremost in most people’s memories is not the Reagan recovery of 30 years ago but the recession that started under Bush in late 2007 and which consumed the last presidential campaign in 2008.

The reality that the current weak economy looks good in comparison only emphasizes the deep hole of late 2008. Bush left office in the midst of a financial collapse, panic-induced bailouts and deep debt used to finance, among other things, unpaid-for wars.
Republicans could argue that 8 percent unemployment is a lethal level for an incumbent to defend. That is also true, but the same thing was said when Reagan was running in 1984 with unemployment above 7 percent and Roosevelt was running in 1936 with unemployment well into the double digits. Both Reagan and Roosevelt won decisive landslides while losing a miniscule number of states.
These examples suggest that what matters to voters is the general trend of the economy at the time of the election, as opposed to the precise level of unemployment.
Republicans could argue that the forecasts of the positive effects of the 2009 stimulus were wildly overstated by the Obama administration and thus the administration’s policies failed according to its own benchmarks. After all, the economic brain trust in the administration said that if the stimulus was passed, unemployment would be below 6 percent by now.
True again, but most voters are not aware of just how wrong the Obama economists were. In any case, every White House puts out rosy forecasts.
Based on the historical record, and despite all arguments against the performance of Obamanomics, it looks like the recovery has been strong enough to give the president four more years.

27 Eylül 2012 Perşembe

Mens Sport Coats

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Mens Sport Coats

Men's sport coats and blazers have become a wardrobe staple now more than ever. Guys are wearing sport coats with jeans in lieu of other outerwear, and I personally love the look, especially when worn in unexpected ways. Try a trim cotton blazer over a fun tee with jeans and some fun sneakers or a classic navy or black wool blazer with contrasting trousers.  Quite simply, any variation of a blazer, sport coat or suit jacket makes a guy look put together. It's always a good choice.

Mens Sport Coats

Mens Sport Coats

Mens Sport Coats

Mens Sport Coats

Mens Sport Coats

Mens Sport Coats
Mens Sport Coats
Mens Sport Coats
Mens Sport Coats




Casual Sport Coat

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Casual Sport Coat

In April of 1982 Time magazine featured Giorgio Armani on its cover. Armani's first radically different blazer appeared in the fashion world under his own label between 1974 and 1975. His sartorial style exhibited a decidedly relaxed, even rumpled look. The designer softened these new jackets by pulling out the padding and lining and leaving out stiffeners of any kind. He combined thinner lapels with baggier pockets and longer jackets. "Armani's unstructured look makes even his English wool suits feel as comfortable as silk pajamas," observed a writer for People magazine. And in Esquire, Rita Hamilton credited Armani's suit jackets with "the kind of shape that defied the proper Italian establishmentarian look and mirrored the defiant, angry mood of political and social unrest." But, as American designer Donna Karan put it in the New York Times Magazine, "fashion evolves." And Armani's designs did change by the end of the 1970s.                                                                                      Casual Sport Coat

Casual Sport Coat

Casual Sport Coat

Casual Sport Coat

Casual Sport Coat

Casual Sport Coat

Casual Sport Coat

Casual Sport Coat

Casual Sport Coat










Corduroy Sport Coats

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Corduroy Sport Coats

The only experience I've had with Lands End sport coats recently is a loden corduroy sport jacket purchased just a bit more than a year ago. I'm not sure it is appropriate to differentiate between brands, based on the lack of garment flexibility caused by the fusing processes applied to the jacket but, my LE corduroy jacket has remained stiff as a darn board...seems almost bulletproof...and I mean that in the worst way. I suspect the manufacturer had to cook down more that one horse carcass to come up with the glue needed to achieve the noted effect! The jacket does not wear comfortably and it looks as bad as it feels, while on. On the hanger, it doesn't look bad and, on the plus side, it was cheap but, given the fit and functionality of the coat, should have been cheaper. 

Corduroy Sport Coats

Corduroy Sport Coats

Corduroy Sport Coats

Corduroy Sport Coats

Corduroy Sport Coats

Corduroy Sport Coats

Corduroy Sport Coats

Corduroy Sport Coats

Corduroy Sport Coats

Corduroy Sport Coats


Tweed Sport Coat

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Tweed Sport Coat

Although a New York City lawyer with Chutzpah, in court Gould would sometimes wear a tweed sports coat with patches and usually had a professorial manner relying on his cross-examination skills. Taking a lesson from Kaufman he would end the trial day by going home to dinner leaving his assisting attorneys to work up the examination for the next day.In 1964, Gould led his law firm into a merger with the firm of his former high school classmate WILLIAM SHEA a politically powerful lawyer who brought the New York Mets and Shea Stadium to New York. The firm would become shea & gould, a very successful law firm that grew to 350 lawyers.In 1979 Gould published "The Witness Who Spoke With God and Other Tales From The Courthouse" (Viking, 1979), a book of a collection of his stories which had previously appeared in the New York Law Journal.

Tweed Sport Coat

Tweed Sport Coat

Tweed Sport Coat

Tweed Sport Coat

Tweed Sport Coat

Tweed Sport Coat

Tweed Sport Coat

Tweed Sport Coat

Tweed Sport Coat


Baby Shower Flower Arrangement Ideas

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Baby Shower Flower Arrangement Ideas

With just a few well-placed decorations, you can set the mood for a beautiful and memorable baby shower. Browse our ideas for creating customized decorations to celebrate the mother-to-be and her little one, including mobiles, paper lanterns, decorated mirrors, and more.Choose complementary colors of seam binding to dress up the table for any shower theme. Tie the seam binding to a wreath form to make the chandelier, and simply tape binding to the cake stand to give it an elegant, fluttery fringe.

Baby Shower Flower Arrangement Ideas

Baby Shower Flower Arrangement Ideas

Baby Shower Flower Arrangement Ideas

Baby Shower Flower Arrangement Ideas

Baby Shower Flower Arrangement Ideas

Baby Shower Flower Arrangement Ideas

Baby Shower Flower Arrangement Ideas

Baby Shower Flower Arrangement Ideas

Baby Shower Flower Arrangement Ideas

Baby Shower Flower Arrangement Ideas